In this episode of "20 VC" with Harry Stebbings, Ed Sim of Boldstart Ventures discusses the evolving landscape of seed investing and the emergence of 'inception investing.' Sim breaks down the three types of seed rounds: discovery (less than $2 million), classic ($3-5 million), and Megatron jumbo (over $5 million), emphasizing the importance of being a seasoned founder with a prior exit for larger rounds. He argues against excessive funding in early stages, pointing out that constraints can drive innovation and efficiency. Sim also notes the current market dynamics, including inflated valuations and the necessity for venture funds to adapt their strategies to maintain ownership and relevance. The conversation touches on the impact of macroeconomic factors on investment climates, the importance of disciplined investing, and the potential overvaluation of AI startups amidst the hype. Harry and Ed also discuss the role of venture capital in company growth and the need for strategic exits. Throughout, Ed advocates for a rational and ownership-focused approach to venture investing, aiming for Boldstart to continue its specialized, early-stage, hands-on support for founders.
The point is the three rounds are there's a discovery round, which in my opinion is less than 2 million.
This quote by Ed Sim establishes the concept of a discovery round, highlighting its purpose to support early-stage exploration by first-time founders.
So it's usually like maybe a first time founder exploring a new market. It'll graduate into the next round, which would be a classic, and a classic round in my opinion, would be three to 5 million.
Ed Sim describes the progression from a discovery round to a classic round, indicating the increased funding and the purpose of further market penetration and business scaling.
And finally, this is the Megatron jumbo round. Greater than five, it's usually a six to $10 million round and it's almost always a seasoned founder with a prior exit.
Ed Sim introduces the concept of Megatron jumbo rounds, highlighting the significant funding amounts and the typical profile of founders who secure such investments.
I call ourselves an inception investor, and in my opinion, the world's gotten way too complicated with pre seed, seed and what have you.
Ed Sim explains Boldstart's approach as inception investors, simplifying the early-stage investment landscape and focusing on the earliest stage of a startup's life cycle.
It's gotten really hard to venture. I mean, people raised way too much capital over the last three or four years.
Ed Sim discusses the challenges in the venture capital market due to the overabundance of capital raised and its impact on investment strategies.
I think precede presupposes that you need a seed round.
Ed Sim critiques the traditional precede and seed round structure, suggesting that it may not be necessary or desirable for all founders, particularly those with prior experience.
You have person leave stripe or leave OpenAI or hugging face, and they raise 20 on 100.
Harry Stebbings expresses concern over the trend of high valuations for companies founded by individuals from notable tech firms, questioning the sustainability and implications of such practices.
I want to test them to make sure that they are okay and that they want to operate with constraints around them.
Ed Sim emphasizes the importance of testing founders' willingness to operate within constraints, suggesting that it can lead to more disciplined and focused growth for startups.## Discovery Round
"There's a discovery round, which my opinion is less than 2 million. So it's usually like maybe a first time founder exploring a new market, maybe like Wasm, webassembly markup language or whatnot."
This quote explains that the discovery round is a smaller funding round aimed at new founders entering emerging markets, and it serves as a starting point before advancing to larger funding stages.
"And a classic round, in my opinion, would be a first or second time founder... I'm going to take four to $5 million, I'm going to build a mean team, and I'm going to operate."
Ed Sim expresses his preference for the classic round, where founders take a moderate amount of funding to build a focused team and grow their business.
"This is the megatron jumbo round. This is greater than five. It's usually a six to $10 million round. And it's almost always a seasoned founder, like an en that I mentioned earlier with a prior exit."
The quote describes the characteristics of a jumbo round, which is a significant funding stage for experienced founders looking to scale their next venture.
"What worries me is people don't think longer term on the jumbo rounds and say, we're just doing a ten on 50, just base case."
Harry Stebbings expresses his concern that founders may not be considering the potential downsides of raising too much money too quickly, which can lead to difficulties in later funding rounds.
"I'll give you some different math. I think in order to win right now, in today's venture climate, you've got to compete with angels, you've got to compete with precede, you've got to compete with seed, you've got to compete with multistage, billion dollar firms."
Ed Sim explains that successful venture funds must be competitive at all stages of investment and have the flexibility to provide significant funding when necessary.
"Enterprise it spending is refucking, accelerating right now... And I'm just saying the cloud stuff, we're still only 25% to the way of migration from on prem to cloud right now."
Ed Sim argues that the enterprise SaaS market continues to grow, offering investment opportunities despite concerns about high entry valuations.
"Yeah, well, capital efficiency matters, period... So that's number one. And to that point, you will never find Bullshart, for example, finding companies where they're raising 20 or $30 million, and two thirds of that money goes to Nvidia."
Ed Sim highlights the importance of investing in capital-efficient businesses to avoid excessive dilution and maintain a significant ownership stake.
"There's a special place in vc hell saved for precede investors to take board seats. Am I wrong?"
Harry Stebbings questions the practice of precede investors taking board seats, suggesting it may not always be appropriate. Ed Sim's response implies that active involvement from the start can be beneficial.## Pre-Seed and Seed Funding Dynamics
"If you're raising five hundred k to a million, that's what I think of pre-seed, then, yeah, you don't need a fucking board." "If you're doing a classic round of you're raising three to 4 million, I like to tell the founder that, hey, you should probably not do a series of safe notes here because you never really know what you own, especially on conversion."
Ed Sim argues that for smaller funding rounds, formal structures like boards are unnecessary. However, for classic seed rounds of around 3 to 4 million dollars, he advises against using a series of SAFE notes due to the uncertainty of ownership upon conversion and suggests setting up a proper round and board for better preparation for future governance.
"The best founders, in my opinion...ping me when they need me." "Putting onerous frameworks around founders where you need to talk every week or two weeks or whatever, or having every monthly board meeting cases, there's no set rule."
Ed Sim's perspective is that the best founders are those who communicate with their investors when necessary, without the need for rigid, frequent check-ins. He believes that investor involvement should be flexible and based on the founder's preferences rather than a strict schedule.
"I think this whole AI thing, frankly, I think AI is the most transformational thing that we're ever going to see in a long time. However, I still think it's really fucking hard to make money there." "Chasing anything with AI in their domain or an AI thing I think is insane."
Ed Sim acknowledges the transformative potential of AI but remains skeptical about the ease of profiting from AI investments. He criticizes the trend of indiscriminately pursuing AI-related ventures and advises a more discerning approach, focusing on unique problem-solving.
"I don't even know what the fuck a 20 on 100 post is anymore. Frankly. I think at the end of the day, dude, it comes down to being disciplined, right?"
Ed Sim expresses skepticism about the current high valuations in seed investing and stresses the importance of maintaining discipline in investment decisions, especially in light of uncertain macroeconomic factors.
"I think we're going to see a lot more M&A's coming ahead right now." "There have been a lot of companies and there's what, thousand plus unicorns out there right now. Not all of them will go public."
Ed Sim predicts an uptick in M&A activity, especially among overvalued unicorns that may not go public. He suggests that some growth investors might opt for exits at current valuations to reallocate capital, indicating a strategic shift in response to market conditions.
"Yeah, the numbers, the overall numbers itself, in terms of growth round valuations, yeah, they're fucking down big time." "We want you to get the best partner who believes in your business in the longer term at a fair price."
Ed Sim acknowledges the significant decrease in growth round valuations and advises founders to focus on securing investment partners who are committed to the long-term success of their business rather than pursuing the highest possible valuation.
"You and I both know there's some lessons that we should probably learn from the last two years."
Ed Sim and Harry Stebbings reflect on the importance of learning from previous investment cycles, suggesting that some investors may not have fully absorbed these lessons, as evidenced by ongoing aggressive investment behaviors.## Disciplined Financial Management
"There's a death spiral that can happen if you miss a quarter or a quarter or two, and just the pressure goes up and the last batch of hires, who are usually the largest percent of your business, if you are in hypergrowth mode, are feeling like they're underwater."
The quote emphasizes the negative spiral that can occur when a startup fails to meet its financial projections, leading to increased pressure and potential dissatisfaction among employees who were hired during periods of rapid growth.
"Ownership always matters, by the way, on these exits, particularly in a world of lower multiples. But you've got to be careful about how much you lean in."
This quote highlights the importance of maintaining ownership in startups while being cautious about how aggressively to invest in subsequent funding rounds, particularly in a market with lower valuation multiples.
"My biggest win to date and win I'll call a realization, was kind of leading the rounded inception with customer with a k."
The quote reflects on Ed Sim's most notable investment success, which involved leading an early funding round for a company that eventually sold for over a billion dollars.
"Leaning in too much, too quickly without enough signals changing things from those rounds."
The quote acknowledges the error of investing too aggressively in quick succession without adequate evidence of progress or de-risking between investments.
"It's gotten so fucking competitive out there, man. It's insane. And there's too much money out there chasing things."
This quote describes the current state of the venture capital industry, characterized by intense competition and an oversupply of investment capital, leading to potentially irrational investment behaviors.
"Being first on the cap table really makes sense in terms of making money in any environment with multiples compressed."
Ed Sim advises that for LPs, securing early positions in startup investments is beneficial for returns, especially in a market with compressed valuation multiples.
"Mr. Jerome Powell signaling to the world that interest rates are under control now and the air has been taken out of the balloon and the interest rates have to go down."
The quote suggests that a key factor for reviving the IPO market would be a signal from the Federal Reserve that interest rates are stabilizing or decreasing, which historically has been associated with higher valuation multiples for companies.
"I want to be in that inception round. I don't want to lead A rounds. I don't want to get so big where I feel like I have to put money to work to make bad decisions."
Ed Sim expresses his desire for Boldstart Ventures to remain focused on early-stage investments and avoid the pressure to deploy capital that comes with managing a larger fund, which could lead to less strategic investing.
"Harry, you have such a special talent for interviewing people and asking questions and you're so deep in your knowledge and I think that you learn from every person you interview."
The quote compliments Harry Stebbings on his interviewing abilities and suggests that the insights gained from these interviews contribute to his understanding and perspective on the venture capital sector.