Host Harry Stebbings welcomes Michael Kim, founder and managing partner of Sendana Capital, a fund of funds that invests in seed funds, to discuss the venture capital landscape and the intricacies of LP investment in VC funds. Kim shares insights from his journey, beginning at Morgan Stanley, transitioning to Rustic Canyon Partners, and ultimately founding Sendana Capital. He highlights the importance of a robust seed ecosystem, the significance of fund managers leading deals, and the critical role of portfolio construction in early-stage investing. The conversation also delves into the evolution of seed investing, the benefits of innovation for the economy, and the potential pitfalls of LPs investing directly in startups. Kim emphasizes the need for discipline and focus in fund management, rather than pursuing asset accumulation, to create long-term value for investors.
"So joining me in the hot seat today, I'm delighted to welcome Michael Kim. Michael is the founder and managing partner of Sendana Capital, a fund of funds which invests in seed funds, and it seems we've stalked his portfolio with our previous VC guests who include soft tech, Freestyle founder, collective collaborative fund Lira, Hippo Ventures, and actually many more."
This quote introduces Michael Kim and his role at Sendana Capital, highlighting the connection with previous guests and the impressive range of seed funds in their portfolio.
"But while I was doing that, and I was always based here in San Francisco, I was also on the board of San Francisco's public pension fund. And that at the time was about twelve, $13 billion. Now it's about 2020, 1 billion."
This quote explains Michael's dual experience in VC and as an LP, providing the background for his unique perspective and the eventual founding of Sendana Capital.
"By 2005, you had groups like Union Square Foundry. True. By 2007, eight, you had groups like Steve Anderson at baseline, Mike Maples at Floodgate, Michael Dearing at Harrison Metal. So you started seeing this emerging group of smaller funds focused on doing the first round of investment."
This quote highlights the trend of smaller funds emerging to focus on early-stage investments, indicating a shift in the venture capital landscape that Sendana Capital is a part of.
"Certainly a lot of different sources of funding aside from seed funds through accelerators, corporate vcs getting more active. So I think there's a plethora of early stage capital available to an entrepreneur."
This quote emphasizes the positive impact of the diverse funding landscape for entrepreneurs, which is conducive to innovation and economic growth.### Taxonomy of Early Stage Investment
"Angels, I think, are individuals who as a hobby, invest in early stage startups, super angels, which I don't think most people talk about anymore, but super angels are ones who are using their own money and doing this as a full time profession." This quote explains the difference between angel investors, who invest casually, and super angels, who invest professionally using their own funds.
"The absolute worst scenario... are these party rounds... when the company needs to raise their next round of financing, there's no one necessarily on point, especially if the financing is a difficult one." This quote highlights the problems with party rounds, where a large number of individuals invest but may not provide the necessary support for future financing rounds.
"I do think that there are substantial issues with lps investing directly. First and foremost is adverse selection." This quote identifies adverse selection as a significant risk when limited partners (LPs) invest directly in startups, suggesting that such opportunities might have underlying issues.
"We do have a direct investment fund... We think that technology and market risk are largely mitigated." This quote explains Sendana's strategy of investing directly in more mature companies through a standalone fund, aiming to reduce technology and market risks.
"High quality firm like Sequoia, comes in with a $10 million Series A. They're not going to make room for anybody else." This quote illustrates the competitive nature of venture capital funding, where top-tier firms like Sequoia dominate investment rounds without leaving room for others.
"The first filter that we use is ecosystem... we're focused on the Bay Area as well as New York." This quote outlines Sendana's emphasis on strong startup ecosystems as a primary factor in evaluating micro VC fund managers.
"If you're the go to seed fund in Cleveland, we are not likely to take a look because there aren't that many larger VC funds that are based in Cleveland." This quote indicates Sendana's preference for seed funds in areas with a significant presence of larger VC funds, due to the challenges of attracting follow-on capital in less prominent locations.## Portfolio Construction
"So what we mean by that, we specifically look for GPs who are leading their deals. They're writing the largest checks."
This quote emphasizes the importance of selecting GPs who take the lead in investment deals by contributing significant capital.
"They have the credibility with the entrepreneur to organize that syndicate and ultimately be a partner to the entrepreneur in helping build the business."
The quote highlights the necessity for GPs to have strong relationships and credibility with entrepreneurs to effectively support and guide business growth.
"How do we get a sense that particular GP has a discernible edge? What kind of networks the group have, what kind of reputation do they have in experience?"
This quote addresses the evaluation of intangible factors that contribute to a GP's potential for success, such as their unique advantages, network, and reputation.
"We're looking for long term platforms. We're looking for the next sequoia in early stage investing."
The quote reflects the ambition to invest in GPs who have the vision and potential to become significant, enduring forces in the venture capital ecosystem.
"Dave is a very smart person, a very nice person, and I love talking to him. He and I have publicly disagreed many times about his portfolio construction and my thoughts on what the right approach is."
Michael Kim acknowledges Dave McClure's perspective but indicates a history of disagreement on the optimal portfolio construction strategy.
"Ownership of a portfolio company, that is extremely important."
This quote underlines Michael Kim's stance that having a substantial ownership stake in a company is key to achieving significant returns from venture investments.
"Small 1% positions imply that you're required to have billion-dollar exits in order to move the dial."
The quote explains the challenge with having minimal ownership in companies; such positions require exceptionally high-value exits to significantly impact fund returns.
"The absolute top tier can raise at will."
This quote captures the ease with which the most successful VC firms can secure funding due to their established reputations and track records.
"A number of LPs I know have already spent their budget or have already allocated their budget to these re-ops."
Michael Kim notes that many LPs may have already committed their available funds for the year, largely to established funds.
"What that means specifically for newer funds, I guess the have-nots. I would say that they should spend the second half of this year meeting with institutional LPs."
The quote advises newer funds on strategy, suggesting they build relationships with LPs to position themselves for investment consideration when more capital becomes available.
"I think one important element of seed investing, our hypothesis is that it's actually an asymmetry of risk."
This quote introduces the concept that seed investing carries a unique risk-reward profile, with the possibility of high returns from exceptional companies.## Seed Investment and Risk
A seed investor in Uber has done extremely well, but if a company exits for 100 million to a billion dollars, the seed investor does very well on the downside, we actually think that risk is a lot more limited.
This quote explains the potential for high returns in seed investment and suggests that downside risk is often overestimated.
What I mean by that specifically is that a seed fund that invested, let's say, a million dollars into a company, the team builds out the product, never gets the market fit that's required. So they need to sell. They can sell the company for a few million dollars, and the seed investor gets some capital recovery, if not a profit.
Michael Kim clarifies that even if a company does not achieve market fit, there is still an opportunity for seed investors to recover their investment through a sale.
I will tell you that through our portfolio of 700 companies or more, our mortality rate right now is less than 10%.
This quote provides empirical evidence from Michael Kim's own portfolio to support the claim that the risk of total loss is lower than perceived.
And I do think that the longer term, sort of steady state mortality rate is probably 25% to 30%. But I don't think it's 80%. But we'll see.
Michael Kim provides an estimate of the longer-term mortality rate for companies, which is significantly lower than the often-cited figure of 80%.
So, your favorite book and why catch on the rye.
Michael Kim's favorite book is "Catch on the Rye" due to its thought-provoking protagonist.
I think maintaining discipline on what we do. We are only focused on seed funds and also making these direct investments.
This quote highlights the importance of discipline in investment strategy for Michael Kim and his firm, Sandana.
I think most lps are social proof investors.
Michael Kim criticizes the tendency of LPs to follow social proof rather than making independent, rational investment decisions.
I read Techcrunch, recode, Pando, and actually I listen to your podcast.
Michael Kim shares his go-to sources for staying informed about the tech and venture capital industries.
In terms of Jeff as a GP, extremely thoughtful, he's french and very successful.
Michael Kim appreciates Jeff Clavier's thoughtfulness and humility despite his success, countering stereotypes.
One element that's particularly attractive about what Softtech does and what Jeff has done specifically, he has sought to build a long term platform.
This quote emphasizes the strategic importance of building a long-term platform in the venture capital industry.
If you look at the absolute top tier VC funds, they've done a phenomenal job of generational shift and the older generation handing off to the younger generation.
Michael Kim identifies generational transition as a hallmark of the most successful venture capital funds.
My fundamental objective is to make our investors as much money as possible.
Michael Kim's primary goal is the financial success of Sendana's investors.
I think the key to long term success is discipline and staying focused on what you're best at.
This quote outlines Michael Kim's philosophy on achieving long-term success through discipline and focus in their investment strategy.
We have zero interest in becoming a multi billion dollar asset gatherer and living off our fees and having swanky offices.
Michael Kim expresses a clear disinterest in scaling Sendana to a point where it loses its focus on performance and becomes fee-driven.
A huge hand to Michael for giving up his time to be on the show today.
Harry Stebbings thanks Michael Kim for his participation in the podcast and acknowledges his contributions to the venture capital industry.
And if you're also loving the 20 minutes vc and do not want to miss a thing from us, then you can add me on Snapchat at htebings or you can sign up to the newsletter on the twentyminutevc.com.
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